by Calculated Risk on 10/21/2010 08:40:00 AM
Thursday, October 21, 2010
Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims: Moving Sideways
The DOL reports on weekly unemployment insurance claims:
In the week ending Oct. 16, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 452,000, a decrease of 23,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 475,000 [revised up from 462,000]. The 4-week moving average was 458,000, a decrease of 4,250 from the previous week's revised average of 462,250.Click on graph for larger image in new window.
This graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since January 2000.
The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims decreased this week by 4,250 to 458,000.
The 4-week moving average has been moving sideways at an elevated level since last December - almost a year - and that suggests a weak job market.
Note: most revisions have been slightly up over the last year or so. The average revision has been up just over 2,000, but the revision last week was up 13,000.