by Calculated Risk on 7/14/2011 09:10:00 AM
Thursday, July 14, 2011
Retail Sales increased 0.1% in June
On a monthly basis, retail sales increased 0.1% from May to June (seasonally adjusted, after revisions), and sales were up 8.1% from June 2010. From the Census Bureau report:
The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for June, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $387.8 billion, an increase of 0.1 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, and 8.1 percent (±0.7%) above June 2010.

This graph shows retail sales since 1992. This is monthly retail sales and food service, seasonally adjusted (total and ex-gasoline).
Retail sales have been mostly moving sidways since March.
Retail sales are up 16.6% from the bottom, and now 2.5% above the pre-recession peak.
The second graph shows the year-over-year change in retail sales and food service (ex-gasoline) since 1993.

This was about at expectations for no change in retail sales. Retail sales ex-autos were unchanged, and gas station sales declined 1.3% last month as prices fell. Another weak retail sales report ...