by Calculated Risk on 9/19/2012 08:30:00 AM
Wednesday, September 19, 2012
Housing Starts increased to 750 thousand in August
From the Census Bureau: Permits, Starts and Completions
Housing Starts:
Privately-owned housing starts in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 750,000. This is 2.3 percent above the revised July estimate of 733,000 and is 29.1 percent above the August 2011 rate of 581,000.
Single-family housing starts in August were at a rate of 535,000; this is 5.5 percent above the revised July figure of 507,000.
Building Permits:
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 803,000. This is 1.0 percent below the revised July rate of 811,000, but is 24.5 percent (±1.7%) above the August 2011 estimate of 645,000.
Single-family authorizations in August were at a rate of 512,000; this is 0.2 percent above the revised July figure of 511,000.

The first graph shows single and multi-family housing starts for the last several years. Starts are slowing increasing.
Total housing starts were at 750 thousand (SAAR) in August, up 2.3% from the revised July rate of 733 thousand (SAAR). Note that July was revised from 746 thousand.
Single-family starts increased 5.5% to 535 thousand in August.
The second graph shows total and single unit starts since 1968.

Total starts are up 57% from the bottom start rate, and single family starts are up 51% from the low.
This was below expectations of 768 thousand starts in August - mostly because of the volatile multi-family sector - but the key is starts are up solidly from last year. Right now starts are on pace to be up about 25% from 2011. Also note that total permits are up sharply from last year.