by Calculated Risk on 2/27/2013 09:09:00 AM
Wednesday, February 27, 2013
MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease
From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
The Refinance Index decreased 3 percent from the previous week. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 5 percent from one week earlier and is at its lowest level since the week ending December 28, 2012.
...
The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($417,500 or less) decreased to 3.77 percent from 3.78 percent, with points increasing to 0.48 from 0.40 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio (LTV) loans.
emphasis added

The first graph shows the refinance index.
The refinance activity is down over the last five weeks. Activity is still very high, but is declining from the levels of 2012.
There has been a sustained refinance boom for over a year, and 77 percent of all mortgage applications are for refinancing.

This index will probably continue to increase as conventional home purchase activity increases.