by Calculated Risk on 7/17/2014 08:30:00 AM
Thursday, July 17, 2014
Housing Starts decline to 893 thousand Annual Rate in June
From the Census Bureau: Permits, Starts and Completions
Housing Starts:Click on graph for larger image.
Privately-owned housing starts in June were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 893,000. This is 9.3 percent below the revised May estimate of 985,000, but is 7.5 percent above the June 2013 rate of 831,000.
Single-family housing starts in June were at a rate of 575,000; this is 9.0 percent below the revised May figure of 632,000. The June rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 305,000.
emphasis added
Building Permits:
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in June were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 963,000. This is 4.2 percent below the revised May rate of 1,005,000, but is 2.7 percent above the June 2013 estimate of 938,000.
Single-family authorizations in June were at a rate of 631,000; this is 2.6 percent above the revised May figure of 615,000. Authorizations of units in buildings with five units or more were at a rate of 301,000 in June.
The first graph shows single and multi-family housing starts for the last several years.
Multi-family starts (red, 2+ units) decreased in June (Multi-family is volatile month-to-month).
Single-family starts (blue) also decreased in June.
The second graph shows total and single unit starts since 1968.
The second graph shows the huge collapse following the housing bubble, and that housing starts have been increasing after moving sideways for about two years and a half years.
This was well below expectations of 1.020 million starts in June. Note: Starts for April and May were revised slightly lower. I'll have more later.