by Calculated Risk on 8/21/2014 10:00:00 AM

The NAR reports: Existing-Home Sales Continue to Climb in July

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, rose 2.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.15 million in July from a slight downwardly-revised 5.03 million in June. Sales are at the highest pace of 2014 and have risen four consecutive months, but remain 4.3 percent below the 5.38 million-unit level from last July, which was the peak of 2013. ...

Total housing inventory at the end of July rose 3.5 percent to 2.37 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 5.5-month supply at the current sales pace. Unsold inventory is 5.8 percent higher than a year ago, when there were 2.24 million existing homes available for sale.

Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows existing home sales, on a Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate (SAAR) basis since 1993.

Sales in July (5.15 million SAAR) were 2.4% higher than last month, but were 4.3% below the July 2013 rate.

The second graph shows nationwide inventory for existing homes.

According to the NAR, inventory increased to 2.37 million in July from 2.29 million in June.   Headline inventory is not seasonally adjusted, and inventory usually increases from the seasonal lows in December and January, and peaks in mid-to-late summer.

The third graph shows the year-over-year (YoY) change in reported existing home inventory and months-of-supply. Since inventory is not seasonally adjusted, it really helps to look at the YoY change. Note: Months-of-supply is based on the seasonally adjusted sales and not seasonally adjusted inventory.

Inventory increased 5.8% year-over-year in July compared to July 2013.  

Months of supply was at 5.5 months in July.

This was above expectations of sales of 5.00 million.  For existing home sales, the key number is inventory - and inventory is still low, but up solidly year-over-year.    I'll have more later ...