by Calculated Risk on 9/14/2017 01:18:00 PM
Thursday, September 14, 2017
Key Measures Show Inflation mostly below 2% in August
The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI this morning:
According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the median Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% (3.0% annualized rate) in August. The 16% trimmed-mean Consumer Price Index also rose 0.2% (2.3% annualized rate) during the month. The median CPI and 16% trimmed-mean CPI are measures of core inflation calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland based on data released in the Bureau of Labor Statistics' (BLS) monthly CPI report.Note: The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI details for August here. Motor fuel increased 107% in August, annualized.
Earlier today, the BLS reported that the seasonally adjusted CPI for all urban consumers rose 0.4% (4.9% annualized rate) in August. The CPI less food and energy rose 0.2% (3.0% annualized rate) on a seasonally adjusted basis.
Click on graph for larger image.
This graph shows the year-over-year change for these four key measures of inflation. On a year-over-year basis, the median CPI rose 2.2%, the trimmed-mean CPI rose 1.8%, and the CPI less food and energy rose 1.7%. Core PCE is for July and increased 1.4% year-over-year.
On a monthly basis, median CPI was at 3.0% annualized, trimmed-mean CPI was at 2.3% annualized, and core CPI was at 3.0% annualized.
Using these measures, inflation was soft year-over-year again in August (although inflation picked up month-to-month). Overall these measures are mostly below the Fed's 2% target (Median CPI is slightly above).