by Calculated Risk on 6/29/2018 11:18:00 AM
Friday, June 29, 2018
Q2 GDP Forecasts
From Merrill Lynch:
The data sliced 0.4pp from 2Q GDP tracking, bringing our estimate down to 3.6% qoq saar. [June 29 estimate].And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow
emphasis added
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2018 is 3.8 percent on June 29, down from 4.5 percent on June 27. [June 29 estimate]From the NY Fed Nowcasting Report
The New York Fed Staff Nowcast stands at 2.8% for 2018:Q2 and 2.5% for 2018:Q3. [June 29 estimate]CR Note: These estimates suggest real annualized GDP in the 2.8% to 3.8% range in Q2.