by Calculated Risk on 6/12/2019 11:13:00 AM
Wednesday, June 12, 2019
Cleveland Fed: Key Measures Show Inflation Close to 2% YoY in May, Core PCE below 2%
The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI this morning:
According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the median Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% (2.3% annualized rate) in May. The 16% trimmed-mean Consumer Price Index also rose 0.1% (1.3% annualized rate) during the month. The median CPI and 16% trimmed-mean CPI are measures of core inflation calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland based on data released in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) monthly CPI report.Note: The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI details for May here.
Earlier today, the BLS reported that the seasonally adjusted CPI for all urban consumers rose 0.1% (0.9% annualized rate) in May. The CPI less food and energy rose 0.1% (1.4% annualized rate) on a seasonally adjusted basis.
Click on graph for larger image.
This graph shows the year-over-year change for these four key measures of inflation. On a year-over-year basis, the median CPI rose 2.7%, the trimmed-mean CPI rose 2.2%, and the CPI less food and energy rose 2.0%. Core PCE is for March and increased 1.6% year-over-year.
On a monthly basis, median CPI was at 2.3% annualized, trimmed-mean CPI was at 1.3% annualized, and core CPI was at 1.4% annualized.
Using these measures, inflation was about the lower in May than in April on a year-over-year basis. Overall, these measures are at or above the Fed's 2% target (Core PCE is below 2%).