by Calculated Risk on 3/11/2020 11:15:00 AM
Wednesday, March 11, 2020
Cleveland Fed: Key Measures Show Inflation Above 2% YoY in February, Core PCE below 2%
The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI this morning:
According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the median Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% (2.7% annualized rate) in February. The 16% trimmed-mean Consumer Price Index also rose 0.2% (2.3% annualized rate) during the month. The median CPI and 16% trimmed-mean CPI are measures of core inflation calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland based on data released in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) monthly CPI report.Note: The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI details for January here. Motor fuel decreased at a 33.5% annualized rate in February.
Earlier today, the BLS reported that the seasonally adjusted CPI for all urban consumers rose 0.1% (1.1% annualized rate) in February. The CPI less food and energy rose 0.2% (2.7% annualized rate) on a seasonally adjusted basis.
Click on graph for larger image.
This graph shows the year-over-year change for these four key measures of inflation. On a year-over-year basis, the median CPI rose 2.8%, the trimmed-mean CPI rose 2.4%, and the CPI less food and energy rose 2.4%. Core PCE is for January and increased 1.6% year-over-year.
On a monthly basis, median CPI was at 2.7% annualized and trimmed-mean CPI was at 2.3% annualized.
Overall, these measures are mostly above the Fed's 2% target (Core PCE is below 2%). This is all pre-COVID-19.