by Calculated Risk on 11/17/2020 08:37:00 AM

On a monthly basis, retail sales increased 0.3 percent from September to October (seasonally adjusted), and sales were up 5.7 percent from October 2019.

From the Census Bureau report:

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for October 2020, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $553.3 billion, an increase of 0.3 percent from the previous month, and 5.7 percent above October 2019. Total sales for the August 2020 through October 2020 period were up 5.1 percent from the same period a year ago. The August 2020 to September 2020 percent change was revised from up 1.9 percent to up 1.6 percent.
emphasis added

Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows retail sales since 1992. This is monthly retail sales and food service, seasonally adjusted (total and ex-gasoline).

Retail sales ex-gasoline were up 0.2% in October.


The second graph shows the year-over-year change in retail sales and food service (ex-gasoline) since 1993.

Retail and Food service sales, ex-gasoline, increased by 7.1% on a YoY basis.

The increase in October was below expectations, however sales in August and September were revised up, combined.