In Depth Analysis: CalculatedRisk Newsletter on Real Estate (Ad Free) Read it here.

Friday, March 17, 2023

Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in February

by Calculated Risk on 3/17/2023 01:12:00 PM

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in February 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in February

A brief excerpt:

This is the third look at local markets in February. I’m tracking about 40 local housing markets in the US. Some of the 40 markets are states, and some are metropolitan areas. I’ll update these tables throughout the month as additional data is released.
...
California doesn’t report monthly inventory numbers, but they do report the change in months of inventory. Here is the press release from the California Association of Realtors® (C.A.R.): More favorable interest rates perk up California home sales for third straight month in February, C.A.R. reports
• Existing, single-family home sales totaled 284,010 in February on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate, up 17.6 percent from January and down 33.2 percent from February 2022.

• February’s statewide median home price was $735,480, down 2.1 percent from January and down 4.8 percent from February 2022.
...
Closed Sales Jan 2023In February, sales in these markets were down 23.7%. In January, these same markets were down 34.1% YoY Not Seasonally Adjusted (NSA).

This is a significantly smaller YoY decline NSA than in January for these early reporting markets.

This data suggests NAR reported sales will rebound in February. This will still be a significant YoY decline, and the 18th consecutive month with a YoY decline.
...
More local markets to come!
There is much more in the article. You can subscribe at https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/