by Calculated Risk on 6/23/2023 09:52:00 AM

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Final Look at Local Housing Markets in May

A brief excerpt:

Each month I track closed sales, new listings and active inventory in a sample of local markets around the country (over 40 local housing markets) in the US to get an early sense of changes in the housing market. In addition, we can look for regional differences. For example, listings in Texas and Florida are up more than in most other areas, and sales are down less year-over-year.
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And a table of May sales.

In May, sales in these markets were down 17.4%. In April, these same markets were down 26.1% YoY Not Seasonally Adjusted (NSA).

My early expectation is we will see a somewhat similar level of sales in June on a seasonally adjusted annual rate basis (SAAR) as in May. 30-year mortgage rates averaged about 6.4% in March and April (for closed sales in May), and 30-year rates averaged close to 6.4% in April and May.

On a Not Seasonally Adjusted (NSA) basis, June is usually the strongest month of the calendar year for closed sales, followed by July and August.
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More local data coming in July for activity in June!

There is much more in the article. You can subscribe at https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/