by Calculated Risk on 6/19/2023 08:21:00 AM

Altos reports that active single-family inventory was up 1.8% week-over-week.

Click on graph for larger image.

This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research.

As of June 16th, inventory was at 451 thousand (7-day average), compared to 443 thousand the prior week.   

Year-to-date, inventory is down 81.%.  And inventory is up 11.2% from the seasonal bottom nine weeks ago.

The second graph shows the seasonal pattern for active single-family inventory since 2015.

The red line is for 2023.  The black line is for 2019.  Note that inventory is up from the previous two years (the record low was in 2022), but still well below normal levels.

Inventory was up 8.5% compared to the same week in 2022 (last week it was up 11.8%), and down 52.1% compared to the same week in 2019 (last week down 52.4%). 

It appears likely inventory will be down year-over-year in late June or early July.

Mike Simonsen discusses this data regularly on Youtube.