by Calculated Risk on 3/14/2024 11:10:00 AM

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-March 2024

A brief excerpt:

Yesterday, in Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-March 2024 I reviewed home inventory, housing starts and sales.

In Part 2, I will look at house prices, mortgage rates, rents and more - and review the house price outlook for 2024.
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Other measures of house prices suggest prices will be up a little further YoY in the January Case-Shiller index. The NAR reported median prices were up 5.1% YoY in January, up from 4.1% YoY in December. ICE reported prices were up 5.6% YoY in January, and Freddie Mac reported house prices were up 6.2% YoY in January, down from 6.3% YoY in December.

Here is a comparison of year-over-year change in the FMHPI, median house prices from the NAR, and the Case-Shiller National index.

The FMHPI and the NAR median prices appear to be leading indicators for Case-Shiller. Based on recent monthly data, and the FMHPI, the YoY change in the Case-Shiller index will likely increase a little further in the report for January.

There is much more in the article.