by Calculated Risk on 11/05/2024 02:19:00 PM

Notes: This CoreLogic House Price Index report is for September. The recent Case-Shiller index release was for August. The CoreLogic HPI is a three-month weighted average and is not seasonally adjusted (NSA).

From CoreLogic: CoreLogic: Annual Home Price Slowdown Continues in September

• On an annual basis, home prices rose by 3.4% in September, the slowest growth rate in over a year, and are projected to slow to 2.3% by the same time next year.

• Miami continued to post the highest gain of tracked U.S. metro areas, at 6.8%, followed closely by Chicago at 6.7%.

• Rhode Island reported the highest annual growth rate of all states at 9%.

• Twenty-seven states reached new home price highs in September.
...
U.S. home price growth continued to cool, slowing to a 3.4% year-over-year in September. Compared to with the month prior, home prices rebounded to post a very slight uptick (0.02%) following months of modest monthly declines. Taken together, home price levels have been relatively flat since late summer. Besides the uncertainty regarding the U.S. election and mortgage rate volatility, the mixed signals around the current state of the U.S. economy may be dampening demand and price appreciation. According to the latest numbers from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the economy added just 12,000 jobs in October 2024, the fewest in almost four years. On the other hand, the most recent consumer spending data showed solid continued spending and an upbeat consumer outlook.

“Like much of the housing market at the moment, home prices remained relatively flat coming into the fall,” said CoreLogic Chief Economist Selma Hepp. “Despite some improved affordability from lower mortgage rates during August, homebuyers mostly kept on the sidelines and decided to wait out the mortgage rate drop for a potentially better opportunity next year, when the current volatility, uncertainty surrounding the election’s outcome, and the impact on longer-term rates may be slightly clearer. And while the mortgage rate and economic outlook is full of questions, home prices are likely to maintain their leveled path until early next year when buyers return to the housing market.”
emphasis added

This was a smaller YoY increase than reported for August, and down from the 5.8% YoY increase reported at the beginning of 2024.

This map is from the report.

Nationally, home prices increased by 3.4% year over year in September. One state posted an annual home price decline. The states with the highest increases year over year were Rhode Island (9%) and New Jersey (up by 8.6%).

Hawaii was the only state to record a year-over-year home price loss (-0.4%).