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Monday, November 04, 2024

Tuesday: U.S. Election, Trade Deficit, ISM Services

by Calculated Risk on 11/04/2024 06:38:00 PM

Mortgage Rates From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Start Week Slightly Lower as Election Volatility Works Both Ways

Love it or hate it, election-related volatility has been having a big impact on the bond market and, thus, mortgage rates.
...
Mortgage rates didn't react in an extreme fashion, but the average lender moved back down toward 7% for a top tier conventional 30yr fixed scenario. The same scenario was closer to 7.125% late last week. [30 year fixed 7.05%]
emphasis added
Tuesday:
U.S. Election

• At 8:30 AM ET, Trade Balance report for September from the Census Bureau.  The consensus is for the deficit to be $73.5 billion in September, from $70.4 billion in August.

• At 10:00 AM, the ISM Services Index for October.  The consensus is for a decrease to 53.3 from 54.9.