by Calculated Risk on 6/30/2005 09:21:00 PM
Thursday, June 30, 2005
Real Estate "Summit" Comments
Following are some comments and stories from the Reuters Real Estate Summit in New York.
Property guru says U.S. market nearing peak Peter Korpacz, the head of real estate business advisory services for PriceWaterhouseCoopers told reporters:
"The thing the industry is focusing on now is jobs growth. For the most part its running at about 175,000 a month. It's a healthy economy, but it's not robust. During this point in the last recovery (in the early 1990s) jobs were growing at about 217,000 a month."Toll Bros sees possible correction in hot markets
Korpacz said real estate lenders and developers are far more disciplined now than in the past and so there was little threat to the market from speculative development, although the red-hot residential sector was giving rise to concerns among investors.
He added that if there is a major drop in prices for condos or single-family housing, it could hurt "real estate as a whole and just wash (away) the whole industry."
"In the hot markets, I wouldn't be surprised to see a 20 percent decline," [Robert Toll Brothers Inc.'s chief executive] said at the Reuters Real Estate Summit in New York. "You've got a price going from $1 million to $800,000, I don't have a problem with that.For more stories see the Reuters Summit site.
"I don't think you're going to have a pop, which means I don't think you've got a bubble," added the head of the luxury home builder at the summit held at Reuters U.S. headquarters in New York. "But I do think you're going to have a correction as the markets unnaturally overheat because of speculation."