by Calculated Risk on 11/15/2005 11:37:00 AM

The AP reports: Home prices show sharp increases

The nation's booming housing market continued to push prices higher in the summer and early fall with 69 metropolitan areas reporting double-digit increases compared with a year ago, a real estate trade group reported Tuesday.

The National Association of Realtors said that the median price of an existing home rose by 14.7 percent in the July-September quarter to $215,900, compared with a median price of $188,200 a year ago. The median is the midpoint where half the homes sold for more and half for less.

Led by Phoenix, Ariz., and Orlando, Fla., the nation's hottest markets far outperformed the nationwide figure. The price of existing homes sold during the third quarter in the Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale area jumped to $268,000, a whopping 55.2 percent higher than the same period a year ago. Orlando has the second biggest increase, a gain of 44.8 percent to $261,300, followed closely by Cape Coral-Fort Myers, Fla., where home prices were up 42.5 percent to $277,600.

Some economists have expressed concern that demand for housing in some parts of the country is being driven by a speculative frenzy that could burst the price bubble as mortgage rates continue to climb. Freddie Mac's nationwide survey showed that the 30-year mortgage hit 6.36 percent last week, the highest level in more than two years.

However, most analysts believe that rising mortgage rates will simply moderate the double-digit gains in home prices that home sellers have enjoyed in recent years, rather than cause sharp declines in home prices.
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The Realtors' latest survey showed that 69 metropolitan areas - nearly half of the 147 areas surveyed - enjoyed double-digit price gains in the July-September quarter compared with a year earlier.

The National Association of Realtors presents "anti-bubble reports" for 130 markets with the lead:

These downloadable 10-page reports show that the facts simply do not support the possibility of a housing bust -- not for these 130 markets and not for the nation.