by Calculated Risk on 11/30/2005 08:14:00 PM
Wednesday, November 30, 2005
The Indefatigable Consumer
Should the American consumer be labeled 'indefatigable' or 'incorrigible'? One thing is certain, the consumer crossed the savings Rubicon in the summer of 2005.
First, a warm welcome back to General Glut: How we achieved 4.3%!
This graph from Professor Hamilton, from July, shows the declining savings rate over the last 20 years. See Dr. Hamilton's post: Which came first: the savings chicken or the deficit egg?
As Gen'l Glut points out, personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income reached -1.5% in Q3 2005. So imagine the line on Dr. Hamilton's graph continuing its descent into negative territory.
The Rubicon has been crossed.