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Sunday, January 22, 2006

WaPo: Debt makes Greenspan's Legacy Unclear

by Calculated Risk on 1/22/2006 10:24:00 PM

In Monday's WaPo: As U.S. Economy Has Thrived, So Has Debt

"The jury is out on his legacy in large part because of the debt" and the trade deficit, said Stephen S. Roach, chief economist at Morgan Stanley. "You will not be able to truly judge his accomplishments until we see how this plays out in the post-Greenspan era."
The article offers these examples:
· U.S. household debt hit a record $11.4 trillion in last year's third quarter, which ended Sept. 30, after shooting up at the fastest rate since 1985, according to Fed data.

· U.S. households spent a record 13.75 percent of their after-tax, or disposable, income on servicing their debts in the third quarter, the Fed reported.

· The trade deficit for last year is estimated to have swollen to another record high, above $700 billion, increasing America's indebtedness to foreigners.
The debt binge has definitely contributed significantly to the current recovery. The big question is what happens next?