by Calculated Risk on 11/16/2006 12:28:00 PM
Thursday, November 16, 2006
Inflation
The following graph shows monthly CPI, Core CPI (CPI less food and energy) and median CPI from the Cleveland Fed.
Click on graph for larger image.
Monthly CPI is a very noisy series and that is why many people use Core CPI. Personally I prefer the Cleveland Fed's median CPI. For October, the median CPI increased 0.3% or at an annualized rate of 3.65%.
Over the last 12 months, the median CPI has increased 3.6%, and over the last 6 months, median CPI has increased at a 4.0% annualized rate. Although the inflation news is welcome, I don't think the CPI or PPI numbers will change the Fed's view.
For more, see Kash's Inflation Update, October 2006