by Calculated Risk on 1/24/2008 12:42:00 PM
Thursday, January 24, 2008
Housing Prediction Contest Winners
Here are the winners for the contests to guess:
1) the NAR reported sales for 2007. Actual: 5.652 million.
Winner: poszi!
Person | Prediction |
1st: poszi | 5.65 million |
2nd: ams16 | 5.64 million |
3rd: Curlydan | 5.666666 million |
2) the peak inventory reported by NAR in 2007. Actual: 4.561 million.
Winners: Rich, AllenM, Jed!
Person | Prediction |
1st (tie): Rich | 4.592 million |
1st (tie): AllenM | 4.592 million |
1st (tie): Jed | 4.592 million |
Note: 4.592 million was the peak at the time of the contest (revised down later).
3) the peak Months of Supply reported by NAR. Actual: 10.7 months.
Winner: AllenM!
Person | Prediction |
1st: AllenM | 10.56 months |
2nd (tie): ipodius | 10.9 months |
2nd: (tie) Rich | 10.9 months |
Congratulations to all!