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Friday, November 07, 2008

The Slowdown in China

by Calculated Risk on 11/07/2008 07:31:00 PM

This is interesting from Bloomberg: China Minister Xie Leaves Peru Early to Fix Economy

China's Finance Minister Xie Xuren was called back from an international economic conference in Peru before the meeting began, following orders from Beijing to help resolve problems at home, an organizer of the event said.
...
``They told him he has to resolve an economic problem and that he's the only one who could do so,'' de Swinnen said. ``He was complaining because he had to fly 32 hours to get here and then he had to fly another 32 hours to get back.''
From Bloomberg: China's Economic Growth May Slump as Spending Comes Too Late
Gross domestic product may advance 7.5 percent or less, the weakest since 1990, according to estimates by Credit Suisse AG, UBS AG and Deutsche Bank AG. Royal Bank of Scotland Plc predicts the economy will grow 8 percent next year, while 5 percent ``can't be ruled out.''
...
``The golden years have shuddered to a dramatic halt,'' said Stephen Green, head of China research at Standard Chartered Bank Plc in Shanghai. Green is reviewing his 7.9 percent forecast for next year because a ``big fiscal policy package'' hasn't arrived.
And what happens to U.S. intermediate and long rates when China tries to stimulate their own economy? That could have a serious negative impact on the U.S.