by Calculated Risk on 6/25/2009 11:51:00 PM
Thursday, June 25, 2009
The Leveraged Loan "Wall of Worry"
From the WSJ: Rates Low, Firms Race to Refinance Their Debts
[C]ompanies are seeking to sidestep what is likely to be the biggest-ever wave of loan refinancing among risky companies as $440 billion in debt comes due in a span of three years [from 2012 to 2014]. That is about 85% of the $518 billion in current leveraged loans outstanding ...The looming credit problems are not just Option ARMs and CRE loans; there are about $75 billion in leveraged coming due in 2012, another $150 billion in 2013 and close to $215 billion in 2014.
Some firms [are negotiating extensions]. Others are issuing junk bonds or stock, using the cash raised to repay some of their loans well ahead of schedule.
The pre-emptive moves demonstrate rising concern about the massive bubble of lending that developed from 2005 to 2007.
The credit bubble: the gift that keeps on giving.