by Calculated Risk on 10/25/2009 11:29:00 AM
Sunday, October 25, 2009
More on the "Job Loss" Recovery
From Carolyn Lochhead at the San Francisco Chronicle: Experts see rebounding economy shedding jobs
Forget a jobless recovery. The economy may be entering a recovery with job losses.As I noted earlier this week, so far the current recovery is even worse than "jobless"; it is a "job-loss" recovery.
...
"It's not even a jobless recovery; it's a recovery with more job losses," said UCLA economist Lee Ohanian. "The idea of having essentially no net job creation after a remarkably severe recession is a real pathology for the U.S. economy."
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Alarms are ringing at the White House and in Congress. But with a mind-boggling $1.4 trillion deficit this year, Democrats have used up their bullets. The word stimulus has such a bad connotation that the term has been banished from new efforts to goose the economy and help workers, such as extending unemployment benefits, sending $250 checks to seniors and a program the White House announced to help small businesses get loans.
This will be hot topic over next couple of months. Maybe the forecasts will be too pessimistic, but without jobs, it isn't much of a recovery.