by Calculated Risk on 12/31/2009 08:32:00 AM
Thursday, December 31, 2009
Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decline
Note: For fun, see the reader polls on the right sidebar for 2010 economic outlook. Polling ends today at 3 PM ET.
The DOL reports on weekly unemployment insurance claims:
In the week ending Dec. 26, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 432,000, a decrease of 22,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 454,000. The 4-week moving average was 460,250, a decrease of 5,500 from the previous week's revised average of 465,750.Click on graph for larger image in new window.
...
The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending Dec. 19 was 4,981,000, a decrease of 57,000 from the preceding week's revised level of 5,038,000.
This graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since 1971.
The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims decreased this week by 5,500 to 460,250. This is the lowest level since September 2008.
The decline in initial claims is good news, although the 4-week average suggests continuing job losses. Also we have also to be careful because data can be volatile during the holidays.