by Calculated Risk on 6/19/2010 05:02:00 PM

From the Boston Globe: Summers cites recovery, risks

The US economy has probably begun a lasting recovery, but the outlook has become more uncertain in recent weeks ... said Lawrence Summers, President Obama’s top economic adviser.
...
Summers ... presented a cautious, measured view of economic conditions. For example, after expressing confidence that European policy makers would contain the government debt crisis and avoid another global financial crisis, he added that the assessment was “my best guess, and I could be wrong.’’

Or, when asked if the nation had achieved a self-sustaining recovery, Summers responded, “I think that’s the right presumption and my expectation. I wouldn’t be foolish enough to be certain.’’

No one has a crystal ball, but Summers sure doesn't seem very confident.