by Calculated Risk on 7/29/2010 11:00:00 AM
Thursday, July 29, 2010
Kansas City Fed: Manufacturing activity rebounded moderately in July
Note: Usually I don't post all the regional manufacturing surveys, however with the inventory adjustment over, export growth appearing to slow, and domestic consumer demand sluggish, these surveys might provide a hint of weakness in the manufacturing sector.
From the Kansas City Fed: Tenth District manufacturing activity rebounded moderately in July
Tenth District manufacturing activity rebounded moderately in July, and expectations for future production remained positive. However, plans for future hiring and capital spending were essentially flat. Price indexes were mostly unchanged.This was a little more positive than the other regional reports that are all showing a slowdown in growth:
It appears overall that growth in the manufacturing sector moderated in July, and some of the internals are even weaker.
Toss in the weaker tone of in the Fed's Beige Book (released yesterday), and this raises the question: Is Fed Chairman Bernanke and the FOMC behind the curve (again)? In his testimony last week, Bernanke said:
My colleagues on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and I expect continued moderate growth ... Most FOMC participants expect real GDP growth of 3 to 3-1/2 percent in 2010That seems pretty optimistic.