by Calculated Risk on 8/28/2010 10:31:00 PM
Saturday, August 28, 2010
"Muddling through ... the prescription of the moment"
A couple of earlier post that might be of interest:
From Peter Goodman at the NY Times: What Can Be Done to Cure the Ailing Economy?
THE American economy is once again tilting toward danger. ..."Muddling through" and "hoping that things somehow get better" seems very defeatist - but I think it is an apt characterization of the current situation. There is always more that can be done ... and I think some people are confusing cyclical deficits with structural deficits. Oh well ...
Yet even as vital signs weaken ... a sense has taken hold that government policy makers cannot deliver meaningful intervention. That is because nearly any proposed curative could risk adding to the national debt — a political nonstarter. The situation has left American fortunes pinned to an uncertain remedy: hoping that things somehow get better.
...
The growing impression of a weakening economy combined with a dearth of policy options has reinvigorated concerns that the United States risks sinking into the sort of economic stagnation that captured Japan during its so-called Lost Decade in the 1990s.
...
Six months ago, Alan Blinder, a former vice chairman of the Federal Reserve, and now an economist at Princeton, dismissed the idea that America’s political system would ever allow the country to sink into a Japan-style quagmire. “Now I’m looking at the political system turning itself into a paralyzed beast,” he says, adding that a lost decade now looms as “a much bigger risk.”
...
By default, muddling through has emerged as the prescription of the moment.