by Calculated Risk on 11/05/2010 12:30:00 PM
Friday, November 05, 2010
Pending Home Sales Index declines 1.8% in September
Earlier employment posts:
From the NAR:
Pending Home Sales Slip but Modest Recovery Expected in 2011
The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator, slipped 1.8 percent to 80.9 based on contracts signed in September from an upwardly revised 82.4 in August. ... The data reflects contracts and not closings, which normally occur with a lag time of one or two months.August was revised up slightly from 82.3.
This suggests existing home sales in October and November might be slightly lower than in September and months-of-supply will probably still be in double digits putting downward pressure on house prices. As usual, I'll take the under on the NAR forecast for 2011 ("more than 5.1 million existing home sales" in 2011).