by Calculated Risk on 2/23/2011 12:01:00 AM
Wednesday, February 23, 2011
AIA: Architecture Billings Index shows no change in January
Note: This index is a leading indicator for new Commercial Real Estate (CRE) investment.
From the American Institute of Architects: Billings at Architecture Firms Hold Steady in January
Following a healthy upturn in the fourth quarter, design billings at U.S. architecture firms remained flat in January. The national reading for the AIA’s Architecture Billings Index (ABI) was 50.0, meaning that on average billings in January exactly matched December levels.Click on graph for larger image in graph gallery.
This graph shows the Architecture Billings Index since 1996. The index showed billings were at the same level in January as in December (at 50).
Note: Nonresidential construction includes commercial and industrial facilities like hotels and office buildings, as well as schools, hospitals and other institutions.
According to the AIA, there is an "approximate nine to twelve month lag time between architecture billings and construction spending" on non-residential construction. So this indicator suggests the drag from CRE investment will end mid-year 2011 or so.