by Calculated Risk on 3/23/2011 07:27:00 PM
Wednesday, March 23, 2011
Misc: Portugal, Participation Rate, Japan and More
• The CBO has a new report Labor Force Projections Through 2021 (ht Catherine Rampell at Economix). The CBO's estimates are similar to mine (here and here). See Table 1 (on page 3) for their projections of the participation rate over the next decade.
The key is that a large portion of the recent decline in the participation rate is due to demographics, and we shouldn't expect the participation rate to rise back to the pre-recession levels.
• From the BBC: Portugal PM Jose Socrates resigns after budget rejected. This was expected, and it appears Portugal will be next in line for a bailout. The EU leaders meeting starts tomorrow - great timing!
Also, Ireland is expected to complete the next round of bank stress tests by the end of March - and if these show the need for additional capital (expected), then that will put the new Irish government in a difficult situation.
• From the NY Times: New Problems Arise at Japanese Nuclear Plant
The Japanese electricians who bravely strung wires this week to all six reactor buildings at a stricken nuclear power plant succeeded despite waves of heat and blasts of radioactive steam.Progress, but still scary.
... [However] nuclear engineers say some of the most difficult and dangerous tasks are still ahead — and time is not necessarily on the side of the repair teams.
• And the impact on the supply chain continues, from the Detroit Free Press: Toyota and Honda extend auto shutdowns
Toyota ... said in a statement Tuesday that its shutdown of 11 factories would be extended until Saturday because of difficulty securing components, including rubber parts and electronics.Earlier housing posts: Existing Home sales for February:
The shutdown had previously been announced through Tuesday. The automaker has lost production of about 140,000 vehicles since March 14.
...
Honda said its production halt would continue through Sunday
• February Existing Home Sales: 4.88 million SAAR, 8.6 months of supply
• Existing Home Inventory decreases 1.2% Year over Year
• Existing Home Sales and Inventory Graphs
New home sales for February:
• New Home Sales Fall to Record Low in February
• Home Sales: Distressing Gap
• New Home Sales and Inventory Graphs