by Calculated Risk on 5/27/2011 09:55:00 AM
Friday, May 27, 2011
Consumer Sentiment increases in May, Pending Home Sales decline sharply
From NAR: April Pending Home Sales Drop
The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, dropped 11.6 percent to 81.9 in April from a downwardly revised 92.6 in March. The index is 26.5 percent below a cyclical peak of 111.5 in April 2010 when buyers were rushing to beat the contract deadline for the home buyer tax credit.This suggests a sharp decline in existing home sales in May or June.
The data reflects contracts but not closings, which normally occur with a lag time of one or two months.
Consumer Sentiment: The final May Reuters / University of Michigan consumer sentiment index increased to 74.3 from the preliminary reading of 72.4, and from 69.8 in April.

This was above expectations for a reading of 72.5.
In general consumer sentiment is a coincident indicator and is usually impacted by employment (and the unemployment rate) and gasoline prices.
This is still a low reading, but sentiment probably improved a little possible due to the decline in gasoline prices.