by Calculated Risk on 1/28/2012 08:43:00 PM
Saturday, January 28, 2012
Europe Update: Greece nears debt deal
The European Union leaders meet in Brussels on Monday, and two key topics will be a "re-focus on growth and job creation"1 and Greece. Even if a deal is reached on the debt - and enough bondholders can be persuaded to participate - Greece still needs to come to terms on the next round of financing.
1Quote from European Council President Herman Van Rompuy.
From the WSJ: Greek Debt Deal, New Loan Agreement to Finish Next Week
Greece and its private sector creditors said Saturday they were on the verge of a deal to write off €100 billion ($132 billion) worth of the country's debt, pending the outcome of separate talks on a new, multi-billion euro bailout for Athens.From the NY Times: Greek Debt Talks Again Seem to Be on the Verge of a Deal
...
Effectively, the focus now shifts to a European summit in Brussels Monday where the continent's leaders will sanctify -- or not -- the terms of the debt restructuring and the new loan. But complicating those discussions are concerns that Greece's funding needs might be bigger than originally thought ...
[C]reditors now seem willing to accept a rate below 4 percent for the 30-year bonds — perhaps as low as 3.6 percent. ... Officials from the three institutions that are keeping the near-bankrupt nation financially afloat — the European Commission, the monetary fund and the European Central Bank — are demanding another round of spending cuts and reforms to justify a release of as much as 30 billion euros ($39 billion) in the months ahead.Here are a few key dates in Europe:
Jan 30th: European Union leaders meet in Brussels on debt crisis.
Feb 9th: ECB holds rate meeting.
Feb 20th: Euro-area finance ministers meet in Brussels.
Feb 29th to March 1st: Italy redeems 46.5 billion euros of bonds.
March 1st and 2nd: EU leaders meet in Brussels.
March 8th: ECB holds rate meeting
March 12th: Euro-area finance ministers meet in Brussels
March 20th: Greece redeems 14.4 billion euros of bonds.
March 30th: Euro-area finance ministers meet in Copenhagen.
Late April: Proposed date for Greek general election.
April 22nd: France election.
Earlier:
• Summary for Week Ending January 27th
• Schedule for Week of Jan 29th