by Calculated Risk on 4/25/2013 03:21:00 PM
Thursday, April 25, 2013
Zillow: Rate of Home Value Appreciation Slows Nationwide in Q1
From Zillow: Rate of Home Value Appreciation Slows Nationwide in Q1, But Pockets of Volatility Remain
Zillow’s first quarter Real Estate Market Reports, released today, show home values increased 0.5% from the fourth quarter of 2012 to the first quarter of 2013 to $157,600. This quarter marks five consecutive quarters of national home value appreciation. On an annual basis, the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) rose 5.1% from March 2012 levels. While home values are still experiencing above normal annual home value appreciation we are seeing signs of deceleration. Monthly appreciation, albeit positive, has been continuously getting smaller, and national home values grew by only 0.1% for the past two months. This does not come as a surprise as appreciation rates have been unsustainable, especially in some of the markets harder hit by the housing recession. ...This report is through Q1, the most recent Case-Shiller release was for January.
According to the Zillow Home Value Forecast (ZHVF), we expect national home values to increase 3.2% over the next year (March 2013 to March 2014).
We are starting to see a little more inventory - probably in response to the recent price increases - and it would make sense that with more inventory, the pace of price increases would slow.
Note: Here are the Zillow Home Value Indexes by city.