by Calculated Risk on 6/18/2013 11:53:00 AM
Tuesday, June 18, 2013
Key Measures show low and falling inflation in May
The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI this morning:
According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the median Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% (2.0% annualized rate) in May. The 16% trimmed-mean Consumer Price Index increased 0.1% (1.6% annualized rate) during the month. The median CPI and 16% trimmed-mean CPI are measures of core inflation calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland based on data released in the Bureau of Labor Statistics' (BLS) monthly CPI report.Note: The Cleveland Fed has the median CPI details for May here. Fuel oil declined at a 28% annualized rate in May.
Earlier today, the BLS reported that the seasonally adjusted CPI for all urban consumers rose 0.1% (1.8% annualized rate) in May. The CPI less food and energy increased 0.2% (2.0% annualized rate) on a seasonally adjusted basis.
Click on graph for larger image.
This graph shows the year-over-year change for these four key measures of inflation. On a year-over-year basis, the median CPI rose 2.1%, the trimmed-mean CPI rose 1.7%, and the CPI less food and energy rose 1.7%. Core PCE is for April and increased just over 1.0% year-over-year.
On a monthly basis, median CPI was at 2.0% annualized, trimmed-mean CPI was at 1.6% annualized, and core CPI increased 2.0% annualized. Also core PCE for April increased 0.1% annualized.
This below target level of inflation will be a key topic at the FOMC meeting today and tomorrow.