by Calculated Risk on 8/12/2013 09:53:00 AM
Monday, August 12, 2013
Greece: A Primary Budget Surplus, Depression Continues
From the WSJ: Spending Cuts in Line With Commitments to Creditors But Economy Continues to Contract. First the good news:
Budget data from Greece's central government showed Monday a primary surplus for the first seven months of the year, turning around a steep deficit seen the previous year, according to the country's Finance Ministry.And then the bad:
The data showed that the primary surplus reached €2.6 billion ($3.47 billion) against a deficit of €3.1 billion a year earlier.
The data, which don't include payments on debt interest, local government and social security fund budgets, show that Greece is likely to secure a primary budget surplus for the year, for the first time in more than a decade.
Greece's improving fiscal performance, however, has taken a toll on its economy, which is contracting for a sixth straight year under the weight of austerity.Maybe there will be a change in plans after the German election in September, but right now they are creating an economic wasteland and calling it progress.
...
Greece expects the economy to shrink by 4.2% this year, though government officials have indicated that a stronger-than-expected tourism season this summer could provide some relief to the economy and result in a milder contraction of some 4% for the year. Many private-sector economists believe that this is too optimistic and that the economy could shrink for another year after the country's jobless rate hit 27.6% in May.