by Calculated Risk on 5/18/2014 09:07:00 AM
Sunday, May 18, 2014
CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased in Q1, Distress Sales just 10% of all sales
Here is a price index for commercial real estate that I follow.
From CoStar: Major Commercial Real Estate Price Indices Advance In First Quarter
BROAD PRICING INDICES MOVE UPWARD IN FIRST QUARTER: The two broadest measures of aggregate pricing for commercial properties within the CCRSI — the value-weighted U.S. Composite Index and the equal-weighted U.S. Composite Index — each finished the first quarter of 2014 on a positive note. The U.S. equal-weighted index, which represents lower-value properties, has the most momentum in early 2014, with pricing up 4.2% for the first quarter of 2014 and 17.1% year-over-year. Meanwhile the U.S. value-weighted index, which is more heavily weighted toward larger, higher-value properties, has already recovered to within 5% of its prior peak levels. As a result, pricing gains in the value-weighted Composite Index have slowed, advancing by a more modest 0.5% for the first quarter and 10.1% for the year ending in March 2014.Click on graph for larger image.
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The percentage of commercial property selling at distressed prices has also fallen by more than two-thirds from the peak levels reached in 2011, to just 10% of all composite pair trades in the first quarter of 2014.
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The Multifamily Index continued to post steady growth, advancing by 7.8% for the 12 months ended March 2014, even though pricing in the Prime Metros Index has surpassed its previous peak set in 2007 by 10%. Pricing in the overall Multifamily Index is now within 8% of its pre-recession peak.Given the steep competition and pricing for Class A assets in prime metro areas, recent pricing gains likely reflect shifting investor interest to Class B properties in primary markets and higher quality properties in secondary and tertiary markets.
emphasis added
This graph from CoStar shows the Primary Property Type Quarterly indexes. Multi-family has recovered the most, and offices the least.
Note: These are repeat sales indexes - like Case-Shiller for residential - but this is based on far fewer pairs.