by Calculated Risk on 8/18/2014 05:52:00 PM
Monday, August 18, 2014
CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased 10% year-over-year in June
Here is a price index for commercial real estate that I follow.
From CoStar: Commercial Real Estate Prices Steadily Advance In Second Quarter
CCRSI COMPOSITE PRICE INDICES ADVANCED STEADILY IN SECOND QUARTER. Despite a modest pull-back in June 2014, CCRSI’s value-weighted U.S. Composite Index advanced 2.3% in the second quarter of 2014, and 9.7% for the 12-month period ending in June 2014. Reflecting the impact of larger, core-like property sales, the value-weighted U.S. Composite Index is now in line with its prerecession highs reached in 2007. The equal-weighted U.S. Composite Index, which tracks smaller, more numerous property trades typical of those in secondary markets, is now beginning to catch up with its value-weighted counterpart. It advanced 2.4% in the second quarter and 10% for the 12 months ending in June 2014.Click on graph for larger image.
...
PROPERTY SALES ACTIVITY ESCALATES. Boosted by a strong second quarter, repeat sale transaction volume reached nearly $39.3 billion in the first half of 2014 , an increase of 14.5% from the first half of 2013, and roughly on a par with the first half-year totals reached in 2006-07. Repeat-sale pair volume increased 8.8% in the Investment Grade segment and 27.2% in the General Commercial in the first half of 2014 over the same period one year earlier. Meanwhile, only 8.7% of properties are selling at distressed pricing as of the second quarter of 2014 — the lowest distress sales rate since the fourth quarter of 2008.
emphasis added
This graph from CoStar shows the the value-weighted U.S. Composite Index and the equal-weighted U.S. Composite Index indexes.
The value weighted index is almost back to the pre-recession peak, but the equal weighted is still well below the pre-recession peak.
The second graph shows the percent of distressed "pairs".
The distressed share is down from over 30% at the peak, to 8.7% in June.
Note: These are repeat sales indexes - like Case-Shiller for residential - but this is based on far fewer pairs.