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Tuesday, September 02, 2014

Wednesday: Auto Sales, Fed's Beige Book

by Calculated Risk on 9/02/2014 05:30:00 PM

Wednesday:
• All day, Light vehicle sales for August. The consensus is for light vehicle sales to increase to 16.5 million SAAR in August from 16.4 million in July (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate).

• 10:00 AM, Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders (Factory Orders) for July. The consensus is for a 10.5% increase in July orders.

• At 2:00 PM, Federal Reserve Beige Book, an informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their District

Oil prices were down sharply today with Brent October futures down to $100.58 per barrel according to Bloomberg.  A year ago Brent was at $115 per barrel - so this is a significant year-over-year decline.

The recent decline in prices could give a little boost to consumer spending on other items. This decline will also hold down the annual cost-of-living-adjustment (COLA) for this year.

Below is a graph from Gasbuddy.com for nationwide gasoline prices. Nationally prices are around $3.43 per gallon (down about a 15 cents per gallon from a year ago).  If you click on "show crude oil prices", the graph displays oil prices for WTI, not Brent; gasoline prices in most of the U.S. are impacted more by Brent prices.



Orange County Historical Gas Price Charts Provided by GasBuddy.com