by Calculated Risk on 5/11/2018 11:19:00 AM
Friday, May 11, 2018
Early Q2 GDP Forecasts
From Merrill Lynch:
Downward revisions to inventories this week leaves 1Q GDP tracking a tenth lower to 2.2% for 1Q GDP. We are tracking 3.2% for 2Q. [May 11 estimate].And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow
emphasis added
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2018 is 4.0 percent on May 9, unchanged from May 3. [May 9 estimate]From the NY Fed Nowcasting Report
The New York Fed Staff Nowcast stands at 3.0% for 2018:Q2. [May 11 estimate]CR Note: These early estimates suggest real annualized GDP in the 3% to 4% in Q2.