by Calculated Risk on 10/05/2018 03:51:00 PM
Friday, October 05, 2018
Q3 GDP Forecasts
From Merrill Lynch:
We continue to track 3Q GDP at 3.7% qoq saar as stronger than expected vehicle sales were offset by weaker core capital goods shipments [Oct 5 estimate].From Goldman Sachs:
emphasis added
We boosted our Q3 GDP tracking estimate by two tenths to +3.3% (qoq ar) [Oct 5 estimate].And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2018 is 4.1 percent on October 5, unchanged from October 1. [Oct 5 estimate]From the NY Fed Nowcasting Report
The New York Fed Staff Nowcast stands at 2.3% for 2018:Q3 and 2.8% for 2018:Q4. [Oct 5 estimate]CR Note: It looks like GDP will be in the 3s in Q3.