by Calculated Risk on 11/02/2018 06:31:00 PM
Friday, November 02, 2018
Q4 GDP Forecasts
From Goldman Sachs:
Q4 2.6% (qoq ar). [Oct 29 estimate].From Merrill Lynch:
emphasis added
[W]e revise down 4Q GDP to 2.8% from 3.0% [Nov 2 estimate].And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2018 is 2.9 percent on November 2, down from 3.0 percent on November 1. [Nov 2 estimate]From the NY Fed Nowcasting Report
The New York Fed Staff Nowcast for 2018:Q4 stands at 2.6%. [Nov 2 estimate]CR Note: These early estimates suggest GDP in the high 2s for Q4.