We estimate nonfarm payrolls increased 195k in December, somewhat above consensus of +180k. Our forecast reflects a modest slowdown in the trend of job growth, and a weather-related boost worth 25k or more. …
We expect the unemployment rate to remain at 3.7% ... We estimate average hourly earnings increased 0.3% month-over-month and 3.0% year-over-year...
emphasis added
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