by Calculated Risk on 5/02/2019 02:50:00 PM
Thursday, May 02, 2019
Goldman: April Payrolls Preview
A few brief excerpts from a note by Goldman Sachs economist Spencer Hill:
We estimate nonfarm payrolls increased 195k in April (vs. consensus of 190k), as lower jobless claims and resilient employment surveys suggest that the pace of job growth remains solid.. …
We expect an unchanged unemployment rate in tomorrow’s report (3.8%; consensus also expects 3.8%). … We estimate a 0.2% rise in average hourly earnings (mom sa) that leaves the year-over-year rate unchanged at 3.2%
emphasis added