by Calculated Risk on 12/06/2019 12:14:00 PM

From Goldman Sachs:

[W]e lowered our Q4 GDP tracking estimate by one tenth to +1.8% (qoq ar) [Dec 5 estimate]
emphasis added

From Merrill Lynch

This week, our ... 4Q GDP tracking estimate edged down by 0.1pp to 1.6% on weaker than expected residential spend in Oct. [Dec 6 estimate]

From the NY Fed Nowcasting Report

The New York Fed Staff Nowcast stands at 0.6% for 2019:Q4 and 0.7% for 2020:Q1. [Dec 6 estimate]

And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow

The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2019 is 2.0 percent on December 6, up from 1.5 percent on December 5. [Dec 6 estimate]

CR Note: These early estimates suggest real GDP growth will be between 0.6% and 2.0% annualized in Q4.