by Calculated Risk on 5/01/2020 10:24:00 AM
Friday, May 01, 2020
Construction Spending Increased in March
From the Census Bureau reported that overall construction spending increased in March:
Construction spending during March 2020 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,360.5 billion, 0.9 percent above the revised February estimate of $1,348.4 billion. The March figure is 4.7 percent above the March 2019 estimate of $1,299.1 billion.Both private and public spending increased:
emphasis added
Spending on private construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,012.5 billion, 0.7 percent above the revised February estimate of $1,005.8 billion. ...Click on graph for larger image.
In March, the estimated seasonally adjusted annual rate of public construction spending was $348.0 billion, 1.6 percent above the revised February estimate of $342.6 billion.
This graph shows private residential and nonresidential construction spending, and public spending, since 1993. Note: nominal dollars, not inflation adjusted.
Private residential spending had been increasing - but turned down in the 2nd half of 2018. It started increasing again, but will slow due to the pandemic. Residential spending is 19% below the previous peak.
Non-residential spending is 11% above the previous peak in January 2008 (nominal dollars).
Public construction spending is 7% above the previous peak in March 2009, and 33% above the austerity low in February 2014.
The second graph shows the year-over-year change in construction spending.
On a year-over-year basis, private residential construction spending is up 8.8%. Non-residential spending is down 1.8% year-over-year. Public spending is up 7.9% year-over-year.
This was well above consensus expectations of a 3.9% decrease in spending, however construction spending for January and February were revised down.
Construction spending will decline due to COVID-19, although construction is considered an essential service in most areas.