by Calculated Risk on 9/30/2020 08:34:00 AM
Wednesday, September 30, 2020
Q2 GDP Revised up to -31.4% Annual Rate
From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product (Third Estimate), Corporate Profits (Revised), and GDP by Industry (Annual Update), Second Quarter 2020
Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 31.4 percent in the second quarter of 2020, according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP decreased 5.0 percent.From the BEA revision information, here is a Comparison of Third and Second Estimates. PCE growth was revised up to -33.2% from -34.6%. Residential investment was revised up from -37.9% to -35.6%. This was close to the consensus forecast.
The “third” estimate of GDP released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "second" estimate issued last month. In the second estimate, the decrease in real GDP was 31.7 percent. The upward revision with the third estimate primarily reflected an upward revision to personal consumption expenditures (PCE) that was partly offset by downward revisions to exports and to nonresidential fixed investment.
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