by Calculated Risk on 3/04/2021 04:05:00 PM
Thursday, March 04, 2021
Goldman February Payrolls Preview
A few brief excerpts from a note by Goldman Sachs economist Spencer Hill:
We estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 225k in February ... the severe winter storms in the South probably struck too late to significantly affect the report ... We estimate an unchanged unemployment rate of 6.3%, reflecting a solid expected rise in household employment offset by a rebound in labor force participation.CR Note: The consensus is for 148 thousand jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to increase to 6.4%.
emphasis added